UFC 307: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Fight date/time, location, odds and Prediction:-
Fight date/time:
Date: October 5, 2024
Start time: 10 p.m. ET (Main card)
Location:
Delta Center — Salt Lake City
Odds:
As of the end of September, and almost two weeks left from before the fight. The current odds for the UFC 307 light heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr. are heavily in favor of Pereira. Pereira is a -450 favorite, meaning a $100 bet on him would return $125 if he wins. On the other side, Rountree is a +350 underdog, so a $100 bet on him would return $450 if he pulls off the upset. (Odds Shark) (Legal Sports Report)
This gap in odds is quite large, meaning oddsmakers and sport analysts believe Pereira has a distinctive advantage going into this title fight, likely to have an edge in technical skills and championship experience compared to Rountree’s track record. Pereira had face and dethrone former champions in the sports as comparison to rountree jr.
Prediction:
Intro of both fighter: Now diving into the following match-up, it’s between two fighters with striking backgrounds. So we can assume that most of the fight will be on the feet. Now talking about the UFC LHW champ Alex Pereira, and what he has accomplished in such a short period in the sport is crazy. He’s speedrunning in the UFC, becoming the two division champ in a few years. He’s also a former kickboxing champ in two divisions. Now moving on to the contender Khalil Rountree Jr. has a striking background in Muay Thai which is evident in his aggressive stand-up approach.
Fighter Similarities: Both fighters are strikers, have vicious KO power, and an aggressive approach. they are also on a four match win streak
Who holds the advantage?
Alex Pereira is a more technical and skilled fighter than Khalil, Although he is an aggressive fighter and his fight iq is also better than Khalil’s. Alex has faced multiple champions in his UFC career, while Khalil has only faced Anthony Smith from the top experienced fighters. Alex has experience of going into the title bout before, while on the other hand khalil hasn’t been in a title bout before,
Other factors that can contribute to the fight are precision, accuracy, and avoiding significant strikes. So Alex Pereira has a striking accuracy of 64%, making him one of the more precise strikers in the UFC. He lands an average of 5.23 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.51 per minute. On the other hand, Khalil Rountree Jr. has a striking accuracy of 39%, with an average of 3.84 significant strikes landed per minute and 4.18 strikes absorbed per minute. so overall it seems that Alex has the upper hand leading into this fight.
How this fight can turn out to be?
Both fighters are effective with leg kicks which they can use to slow down their opponent’s mobility or hurt them. Rountree is known for his explosive power, knees, and clinch work followed by elbow strikes. but Alex has that power, precision, high kick, and that devastating left hook.
Pereira has a high chance of winning this bout, but if Khalil caught him, it might be a problem for Alex as his chin is still untested in the light heavyweight division, specifically against a power hitter like Khalil. In terms of stamina, both fighters are pretty equivalent, as most of Alex fights were finished in the early rounds, and Khalil also has struggled with stamina in the past, Their chins are comparable.
Judging from the history of both fighters, the fight seems to finish in the early two rounds. According to many analysts and experts, Alex is the favorite pick in this title bout, and the same goes for our prediction that Alex Pereira will retain his title, but it’s MMA anything can happen and we can’t completely rule out Khalil Rountree jr. from this fight.
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