Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic Fight Analysis

Date and Time:

• Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024
• Main Card Start Time: 10:00 PM Eastern Time (ET)
• Main Event (Jones vs. Miocic) Approximate Start Time: 12:00 AM ET on November 17, 2024

Location:

• Venue: Madison Square Garden
• City: New York City, New York, USA

Betting Odds:

• Jon Jones: -600 (indicating he is the favorite)
• Stipe Miocic: +450 (indicating he is the underdog)

                                                                               Fighter Profiles

 

Jon “Bones” Jones
Record: 27-1-0 (1 NC)
Style: An extremely athletic fighter, Jones blends wrestling with unorthodox striking and excellent clinch work, not to mention superb distance management.
Reach: 84.5 inches. (Jones possesses one of the longest reaches in MMA; his advantage over almost every opponent who steps into the octagon is in striking.)
Strengths:
Range Control: He uses his length and kick variety to keep opponents at bay.
Unpredictable Strikes: Spinning elbow, side kicks, and obliques.
Wrestling and Ground Control: He’s an overpowering wrestler with ground-and-pound capabilities.
Recent Activity: Jones has gotten back to competition at heavyweight and took the title away from Ciryl Gane. While his late Octagon time has been brief, his skill set is very well proven.

 

 Stipe Miocic
Record: 20-4-0
Style: Miocic is a very powerful striko with an excellent wrestling background and excellent boxing and great gas tank for a heavyweight.
Reaching distance: 80 inches (shorter than Jones but still respectable for a heavyweight).
Strengths:
Boxing: In the heavyweight division, Miocic has some of the cleanest boxing that features a jab setting up his power punches and keeping hands high.
Wrestling: He is pretty good at defending takedowns and taking down opponents.
Durability and Cardio: Miocic was known for his endurance and durability as evident in battles with some fighters like Daniel Cormier.
Recent Activity: Since 2021, when he lost the title to Francis Ngannou, Miocic has not fought. That makes him a bit older now and also longer away from the cage.

Key Areas of the Fight

1. Striking
Jon Jones uses a diversified striking arsenal, creates attacks from the outside with his length, takes away the forward pressure of Miocic through his oblique kicks to the knee, and makes him think twice about closing the gap.
Stipe Miocic is likely to close the distance using his boxing and set up some power punches, especially the right hand. The jab of Miocic will help keep Jones honest while also measuring the timing of the latter.

2. Grappling and Wrestling
Jon Jones showcased a world-class grappling game and is an excellent grappler. He can look to tire Miocic out by forcing clinches and working his dirty boxing.
Stipe Miocic possesses wrestling experience, but would surely be tested by Jones, a master at shutting down takedowns and controlling the pace in the clinch. If he can make scrambles or get the takedown, he proves he can hang.

3. Clinch Work
Jon Jones has a Good near the action, elbows and knees to devastate foes. This can play a huge role against Miocic, who has been hit by strikes in close quarters.
Stipe Miocic better not get sucked into lengthy clinching wars with Jones. When that happens, he should look to break out of the tie-ups and use his boxing.

 

4. Endurance and Conditioning
Jon Jones has always proven he can take a tough fight, even the worst ones. Yet he is still very new to heavyweight; longer rounds may pose some concerns for his conditioning when fighting at this weight.Stipe Miocic has shown himself to be a heavyweight with good cardio, which would be an advantage if the fight were to go longer in rounds. The cardio and his ability to outlast more heavy-handed exchanges will come into play if he can pace himself well.
Blend Takedowns and Clinch: Keep Miocic at bay while pushing him into the cage and burning him out with never-ending clinch work.
Unpredictable for Stipe: Jones’s creativity can leave openings that Miocic hasn’t anticipated, such as a spinning elbow or an unexpected takedown attempt.

Stipe chances to victory as he has to push the pace against Jones and make him prove his heavyweight conditioning by keeping active pressure, using Boxing and inside fighting and may close the distance so that he can use his boxing and power. If we take about defend takedowns as long as Miocic can close off Jones’ access to grappling, there’s a good chance that he’s going to capitalize on his boxing. And we don’t have to talk about jones chances, his current position is more than favorable for wining the match against stipe.

Prediction and Possible Outcome:

This is going to be one very strategic battle wherein Jones attempts to dictate range and pace, while Miocic is going to try to close distance in an effort to land some significant strikes.

Jones has a higher possibility of wining this matchup, although jones isn’t in his prime but Stipe is already a retired fighter and he is 42 year old, almost 4 years has passed since he entered in the octagon. So for the current situation jones position for the upcoming fight is more dominant.

 

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